While he said the forecast looks better for Florida, the proximity of such a powerful storm still places the coast in danger. Ken Graham, director of the National Hurricane Center, described Dorian as a storm in robust health, a “textbook” hurricane with a well-defined eye that was still growing in strength. On its current course, the storm should be near Florida late Monday or Tuesday, the hurricane center said. Hurricane-force winds, if they arrive, could show up early Monday and last though Tuesday. Tropical-force winds could arrive Sunday evening and linger through Wednesday morning. Coastal Palm Beach County has an 80 to 90% chance of experiencing tropical-force winds, coastal Broward has a 60 to 80% chance and coastal Miami-Dade has a 40 to 60% chance. The odds of tropical-force winds are higher. Palm Beach County, particularly the north coast of the county, has a 20 to 40% chance of experiencing hurricane-force winds, which means winds of at least 74 mph, according to the latest hurricane center graphics. Schools will be closed Tuesday in Palm Beach County, which stands to get more severe winds than Broward or Miami-Dade. ![]() ![]() The storm’s winds are expected to peak at 155 miles per hour Sunday night, close to Category 5 strength, and then decline to 140 mph as the storm nears Florida. Hurricane Dorian cone of uncertainty as of 5 a.m., Sunday, Sept. Hurricane Dorian’s 150 mph winds are expected to intensify Sunday morning and the slow-moving storm should come to a virtual stop over the Bahamas on Monday before continuing its westward march toward Florida. the storm was 225 miles east of West Palm Beach, moving west at 8 miles per hour. Their more likely arrival time is Monday morning after dawn.Īt highest risk of the strongest winds are coastal areas from West Palm Beach to Cape Canaveral, according to an advisory Sunday morning from the National Weather Service.Īt 8 a.m. The first tropical-force winds could reach South Florida as soon as late Sunday night or the predawn hours of Monday morning, according to the hurricane center. “The westward shift of the NHC track within the first 48 hours necessitates the change from a Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for a portion of the Florida east coast,” the hurricane center said in a forecast discussion Sunday morning. The hurricane center said it made the change to account for the shift in the storm track toward Florida. However, it increasingly looks like this turn will come very close to the Florida coast.The National Weather Service released this map Sunday morning, showing Hurricane Dorian’s risk to South Florida.Ī watch previously issued for a stretch of the coast from Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet was upgraded to a warning, which means tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours. Stay safe! □□ /aa6h56R59OĮventually, a trough moving southeastward through the Midwestern United States will get close enough to Dorian such that it picks up the storm, and pulls it northward, and then toward the northeast. Reminds me of Wilma near Cozumel where it stalled and caused tremendous damage. Horrible situation for Grand Bahama Island this morning as #Dorian just sits there as a category 5 hurricane. The tweet from the National Hurricane Center's Eric Blake demonstrates this painful stall over the Bahamas. As of 8am ET, the National Hurricane Center estimated winds at165 mph.Īnother significant problem is that high pressure to the north of Dorian has weakened during the last 24 hours, causing the storm's steering currents to collapse. This has led Dorian to essentially halt over Grand Bahama Island on Monday morning, prolonging the Category 5 hurricane misery over the northern Bahamas. The storm has weakened slightly this morning, as its eye has expanded, and its organization lessened a little bit. Dorian has tied the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 with the highest landfalling wind speeds in the Atlantic basin, hitting Great Abaco Island with 185-mph winds. ![]() National Hurricane Center reader comments 172 withĭuring the overnight hours, Hurricane Dorian has pounded the northern Bahamas with devastating winds, storm surge levels of 20 feet above normal, and very heavy rainfall.
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